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The Lumenary
研究生一年级Probability & Statistics计划中

Stochastic processes

Continuous-time processes: Poisson processes, continuous-time Markov chains, Brownian motion and its path properties, continuous-time martingales, and an introduction to Itô calculus and stochastic differential equations.

math.prob.stochastic-processes

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前置知识

48 项必需的前置知识(一直追溯到底)

你将学会

  • Construct the Poisson process and derive its basic properties.
  • State the defining properties of Brownian motion and use its basic path properties.
  • Apply Itô's formula and solve simple stochastic differential equations such as that of geometric Brownian motion.

定义

  • Standard Brownian motion is a process B with B₀ = 0, continuous paths, and independent increments with B_t − B_s normally distributed with mean 0 and variance t − s for s < t.
  • The Itô integral ∫ H dB is defined as a limit in L² of sums in which the integrand is evaluated at the left endpoint of each interval.

定理

  • Brownian paths are almost surely continuous and nowhere differentiable.
  • Itô's formula: for twice continuously differentiable f, df(B_t) = f′(B_t) dB_t + ½ f″(B_t) dt.
  • The equation dS = μS dt + σS dB has the solution S_t = S₀ exp((μ − σ²/2)t + σB_t).

常见误解

  • Applying the ordinary chain rule to Itô integrals.
  • Thinking Brownian paths are differentiable because they are continuous.

可选发现

延伸阅读

  • Ioannis Karatzas and Steven E. Shreve, Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus (1988)
  • Bernt Øksendal, Stochastic Differential Equations